Predictable surprises : the disasters you should have seen coming, and how to prevent them / Max H. Bazerman, Michael D. Watkins.

By: Bazerman, Max HContributor(s): Watkins, Michael, 1956-Material type: TextTextLanguage: English Series: Leadership for the common goodPublication details: Boston : Harvard Business School Press, c2004Description: xiv, 317 p. : ill., map ; 24 cmSubject(s): Emergency managementLOC classification: HV551.2 | .B39 2004
Contents:
What is a predictable surprise? A preview -- pt. 1. Prototypes of predictable surprises. September 11 : the costs of ignoring a predictable surprise -- The collapse of Enron and the failure of auditor independence -- pt. 2. Why don't we act on what we know? Cognitive roots : the role of human biases -- Organizational roots : the role of institutional failures -- Political roots : the role of special-interest groups -- pt. 3. Preventing predictable surprises. Recognition : identifying emerging threats earlier -- Prioritization : focusing on the right problems -- Mobilization : building support for preventative action -- Future predictable surprises.
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Includes bibliographical references (p. 299-300) and index.

What is a predictable surprise? A preview -- pt. 1. Prototypes of predictable surprises. September 11 : the costs of ignoring a predictable surprise -- The collapse of Enron and the failure of auditor independence -- pt. 2. Why don't we act on what we know? Cognitive roots : the role of human biases -- Organizational roots : the role of institutional failures -- Political roots : the role of special-interest groups -- pt. 3. Preventing predictable surprises. Recognition : identifying emerging threats earlier -- Prioritization : focusing on the right problems -- Mobilization : building support for preventative action -- Future predictable surprises.

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